Bogoljub Karic shares his thoughts on the coronavirus's effects on the Gulf economies' oil prices, capital markets, and tourism.
So far, the global pandemic has found its way to 110 countries and has infected about 121,000 people.
Iran is the most hit among the Middle Eastern countries with 9,000 confirmed cases of OOVID-19 and about 350 fatalities. Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Oman, and the UAE have also reported several cases of infection.
The impact of the disease on the economies of these countries are pronounced in these aspects:
Oil Prices
Oil is one of the major exports of the Middle east. Bogoljub Karic notes that its price plunged tremendously last week as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies fell short of reaching an agreement to trim output. This is an obvious problem for Gulf countries, which depend heavily on crude revenues.
Travel and Real Estate
Foreign spending in Saudi Arabia and the UAE is likely to be impacted by the outbreak as well. On average, 20 million tourists travel to Saudi Arabia annually, mostly for religious reasons. Because of COVID-19, all flights to and from the Kingdom have temporarily been suspended.
Meanwhile, the UAE averages about 16 million visitors yearly, with 25 million expected this year in anticipation of the Expo 2020 Dubai, which is slated for October. Bogoljub Karic stresses that as of now, it is still uncertain whether the world expo will be affected by the virus as well.
As for real estate, Chinese buyers made up 1% of Dubai's property transactions in 2018. The psychological effect of the COVID-19 outbreak may put off purchasing decisions despite plunging interest rates.
Capital Markets
Capital markets have been experiencing extreme volatility. Companies with weak credit scores will experience a hard time coping with the market. This means that Oman, Bahrain, and some UAE corporations may find it difficult market-wise this year.
In light of these forecasts for the region, Bogoljub Karic encourages business owners and the public to keep calm and remain vigilant. Things are expected to be on an upward trend once the COVID-19 pandemic is contained.
Bogoljub Karic
Wednesday, April 29, 2020
Tuesday, March 24, 2020
Bogoljub Karic: Retailers Call On Mall Management For a Stimulus Package During Coronavirus Outbreak
Bogoljub Karic shares that retailers from Dubai are asking mall management to review their rental arrangements. This is a consideration for the blows the retail industry has taken because of the pandemic.
So far, the Dubai government has declared a stimulus package for businesses. The Central Bank has requested local banks to be more tolerant of loan recovery while the Jebel Ali Free Zone has cut admin and licensing fees for tenants. Retailers are hoping that their landlords could follow suit.
This plea was preceded by news from Singapore that circulated last week among UAE retailers about a major mall owner giving its tenants a rebate for the coming months to counter losses incurred during the worst of the virus. According to Bogoljub Karic, the mall owner, CapitaLand, offered a 50% rebate on the one-month gross rent of its tenants. Mall managements in Hong Kong have also made similar moves, giving their tenants a drastic cost break by cutting their February rent costs by up to 60%.
So far, UAE malls have not had talks with tenants yet on how best to handle the virus-caused slowdown in sales and visitor traffic. These conversations will most likely happen in April, says head of UAE operations of F&B brand Nando’s, George Kunnappally. Hopefully, the mall owners will be supportive, especially to tenants who are long-time partners and also pay turnover rent. Yet Bogoljub Karic acknowledges that it remains to be seen if mall owners will consider giving a stimulus package for tenants. Dubai malls have already brought rents down by as much as 10 to 15% last year as a way to provide relief to tenants who had experienced a sales slowdown due to a tightening economy.
At a time like this, Bogoljub Karic is counting on malls everywhere to be reasonable and understand that no business, shopping or otherwise, is exempt from being hit by a worldwide virus outbreak.
So far, the Dubai government has declared a stimulus package for businesses. The Central Bank has requested local banks to be more tolerant of loan recovery while the Jebel Ali Free Zone has cut admin and licensing fees for tenants. Retailers are hoping that their landlords could follow suit.
This plea was preceded by news from Singapore that circulated last week among UAE retailers about a major mall owner giving its tenants a rebate for the coming months to counter losses incurred during the worst of the virus. According to Bogoljub Karic, the mall owner, CapitaLand, offered a 50% rebate on the one-month gross rent of its tenants. Mall managements in Hong Kong have also made similar moves, giving their tenants a drastic cost break by cutting their February rent costs by up to 60%.
So far, UAE malls have not had talks with tenants yet on how best to handle the virus-caused slowdown in sales and visitor traffic. These conversations will most likely happen in April, says head of UAE operations of F&B brand Nando’s, George Kunnappally. Hopefully, the mall owners will be supportive, especially to tenants who are long-time partners and also pay turnover rent. Yet Bogoljub Karic acknowledges that it remains to be seen if mall owners will consider giving a stimulus package for tenants. Dubai malls have already brought rents down by as much as 10 to 15% last year as a way to provide relief to tenants who had experienced a sales slowdown due to a tightening economy.
At a time like this, Bogoljub Karic is counting on malls everywhere to be reasonable and understand that no business, shopping or otherwise, is exempt from being hit by a worldwide virus outbreak.
Tuesday, February 18, 2020
Business with Bogoljub Karic: The UAE’s Employment and Employee Benefits
For Bogoljub Karic, having a business in the UAE comes with
certain perks. If you want to expand your business in the gulf, you’ll need to
know these benefits that your employees will expect to be provided to them
according to law. The practical issues of employment and benefits must be
handled to ensure that the move and the hiring of the personnel to staff your
offices will go as smoothly as possible.
All employees are subject to the Labor Law
All employees working in the UAE’s free zones, and that includes
foreign nationals, are subject to the Labor
Law and its regulations,
says Bogoljub Karic. The UAE implements this law to protect the interests of
employees, mainly the UAE nationals. One of the grants and incentives for UAE
nationals include lower transaction fees for employment permits.
Employees receive minimum paid holidays
Under the Labor Law, employees are entitled to two calendar days
of paid leave per month for each year of service. There are also 30 calendar
days paid leave annually given to employees with over a year of service. If
they have carried out approximately 90 days of service, they are entitled to 20
days of paid vacation.
They receive a mandatory minimum wage
Expatriates don’t have a mandatory
minimum wage, but Bogoljub Karic says
UAE nationals do. The employee’s educational attainment determines the minimum
wage. Employees without a high school certificate receive a minimum of 3,000
AED a month, while employees that have a high school certificate get 4,000 AED.
For employees with a college degree or higher, they are entitled to at least
5,00 AED.
According to Bogoljub Karic, the UAE has several great benefits
and incentives for employees, both foreign and for UAE nationals. You need to
check with the local government about regulations about both to make sure
you’re providing your employees the right benefits by law.
Friday, February 14, 2020
Adapting in the World of International Business
I, Bogoljub Karic, believe that
when you enter the scene of international business, everything may seem to be
possible. This includes being too much or being lacking when it comes to
exhibiting some essential skills or characteristics. For many international
business owners, success means adjusting to unfamiliar environment and
situations. However, “overadjusting” has been proven before to cause damage to the
cross-cultural success of many businesses and organizations.
As a part of the world of
international business, you travel to different places to reach out to more of
your target audience. One day may come when you will realize, or other people
will make you realize that you are trying too hard to adopt the culture of
other places. You are overdoing it and it may look inappropriate to others,
especially your foreign clients. This may lead to negative consequences such as
proposal rejections. One key insight I, Bogoljub Karic, learned when I was
working around the world, is that you have to recognize that if you are not
prepared to listen to others, you will surely miss out and you would not
understand the details of another culture. Also, make sure that you acknowledge
that no matter how much cultural intelligence you develop, you should always
have room for more learning. No matter how much of an expert you think you are,
there will always be times when you will make mistakes, because you are not
perfect – no one is.
Thursday, December 26, 2019
Bogoljub Karic on the “Ease of Doing Business” in the UAE
Entrepreneur
Bogoljub Karic says now is the perfect time to expand in the United Arab
Emirates, at least according to the World Bank’s Doing Business 2020 report.
The UAE leads the Middle East as an easy place to do business in, as it ranked 16 among the 190
countries surveyed by the World Bank. It ranked the highest among the Middle
East and the Arab region. While it took a dip in the rankings as it was ranked
as the 11th country before, it maintained its lead among the area.
Marked
Improvements
The reforms the
UAE undertook last year helped maintain its good rankings. Bogoljub Karic
points out that starting a business in the UAE is made even easier since fees
are reduced for business incorporation. Construction permits are also easier to
get, as the UAE uses a risk-based approach. There are also other
incentives—fewer inspections, easier taxes, and more comfortable trading across
borders.
The Judiciary’s
Help
Another factor
that contributed to the favorable ease of doing business ranking in the UAE is
the training and efficiency found in the country’s judicial system. In 2019, a report indicated that the
UAE’s strategy to modernize its legal system led to the “successful creation of
specialized commercial courts.” Electronic case management and new insolvency
regimes ease the way for businesses.
Other Important
Areas
For Bogoljub
Karic, other areas play a significant role, as well. Dubai ranks high in the
Mercer Quality of Living Index, and that contributed to the environment. Dubai
has steadily developed society, experiences, and economies in the area. These
add to the desirability of the location as a great place to do business or
expand on a business.
Things are
steadily getting better in the UAE. UK and US businesses should have smooth
transitions in making an entry in the region if they start there.
Friday, December 13, 2019
Tips from Bogoljub Karic: The UAE's limitations on selling US products
For UAE business specialist Bogoljub Karic,
it’s vital that US companies who are looking to break into the market be fully
aware of any limitations or restrictions when it comes to products and
services. Whether it’s export goods or manufacturing facilities, the UAE places
certain limits to to regulate the trade between the two countries properly.
Consider the following:
The Need for a Distributor
US companies looking to enter the market in
the UAE will need to locate a local distributor or an agent. A US company needs to reach out and
strike up a partnership with a local distributor who is well-informed and is a
veteran of the market. As advised by Bogoljub Karic, the UAE distributor has to
be someone that customers trust as well.
Tenders and Awarding Contracts
The UAE has a system that ensures full
transparency in tendering and in the awarding of
contracts. If a US company wishes to do work in Abu Dhabi and bid for a
contract, suppliers and contractors must have an existing presence in the UAE
as well as have all the right licenses for work to proceed.
There are Export Controls for the US
Another thing to remember is that US
companies that are planning to distribute export goods to the UAE need to first
consult with US export control agencies. According to Bogoljub Karic, the
UAE has a restriction that states that US companies need to make sure whether
or not they will need an export license for the UAE. They need to confirm that
any re-exported goods are not sent to countries prohibited by the UAE.
It’s essential to be well aware of the
different rules and laws in place to make a smooth transition in the UAE
market. By staying informed, you can avoid legalities or delays that may cost a
considerable amount of money to fix.
Monday, November 4, 2019
Bogoljub Karic: How Foundations and Grants Can Help Your Non-Profit Organization
Aside from generating donations from campaigns and benefits, I, Bogoljub
Karic, also recommend that you try to find charitable foundations that provide
funds and great resources for non-profits. There is a huge abundance of
foundations that share the same advocacies as non-profits, which give out
donations that significantly help further their social missions. But how do you
get access to these funding and grants?
Basically, it is pretty much the same as how you approach individuals, so
it is essential that you know what you are specifically looking for and what
foundations would be interested in what you are doing therefore, you should do
some research to find out the types of non-profits your target foundations,
whether public or private, have supported and helped in the past, as they can
be very explicit in their interests. Once you have done this, you can then move
on to working on establishing relationships with those who make funding
decisions.
It is worth asking for an institution’s donation criteria to see know if
you are a fit, as they are often inundated with requests. Remember that there
are large independent foundations which are not likely to give to smaller
non-profit organizations and larger corporations that tend to have charitable
objectives. There are also many charitable foundations that help and support
local non-profit organizations monetarily. These institutions should be the
ones you should definitely target. These are extremely approachable and often provide
small non-profits with skills to help them in the long term; such as board
training, negotiating, planning, grant writing, etc.
Foundations can also help grant you funds for
particular things, such as a strategic planning retreat. Even if you fail to
obtain funding from these sources, they usually let you know how you can
improve your chances and where you went wrong, alongside information on their
grant cycles and decision criteria. When it comes to trying to earn a grant, it
is vital that you get the pitch right. Once you have pin-pointed out an
institution that you think may grant you funds, unless you have experience,
it’s worth hiring someone to help you out in writing a grant proposal if you
can afford it. On the other hand, there are plenty of books to help with this
and you can also keep an eye out for local grant-writing seminars.
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